Building a case for prevention using dynamic simulation modelling

How can we demonstrate the value of reducing lifestyle-related chronic diseases? This PDF factsheet explains how one of the Prevention Centre’s flagship research projects is establishing a compelling argument in favour of prevention using advanced modelling techniques.

We have produced a proof-of-concept national system dynamics model that computes Disability Adjusted Life Years (DALYs), healthcare costs and productivity costs by six key risk factors – tobacco, harmful alcohol consumption, physical inactivity, high BMI, overall dietary risk and high blood pressure. This gives policy makers a tangible demonstration of the value of prevention and the associated impact on the costs of health service use and the change in health and wellbeing in Australia.

Read this factsheet to learn how this online interface can simulate hypothetical policy experiments, allowing users to understand how the assumptions behind interventions may or may not influence their impact at a population level.