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    Home > Resource hub > A what-if tool to address alcohol harms

A what-if tool to address alcohol harms

This Findings Brief PDF shows how a dynamic simulation model of alcohol use in NSW was used to forecast the effectiveness of a variety of approaches and explore what combination of interventions is likely to achieve the best outcomes.
  • A what-if tool to address alcohol harms

    Resource category:

    Findings Brief Findings Brief

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Key messages

  • Excessive alcohol consumption causes a range of harms across society, from violence and
    accidents to chronic health problems including heart disease, cancer and stroke.
  • Alcohol-related harm is a complex problem, with many inter-related causes. It can be difficult
    for decision-makers to know which interventions, or combinations of interventions, is likely to
    produce maximum community-wide impact.
  • Dynamic simulation modelling is a useful ‘what if’ tool that enables policy makers to test the
    likely impact of a range of possible policy solutions before implementing them in the real world.
    It has been widely used in other sectors.
  • This project developed a dynamic simulation model of alcohol use in NSW to forecast the
    effectiveness of a variety of approaches and explore what combination of interventions is likely
    to achieve the best outcomes.
  • The project found that combining different interventions can have undesirable effects; some
    combinations have synergistic effects; and some produce impacts that are not visible within
    a policy cycle.
Details

DATE 18 Feb 2017

TYPE Findings Brief

Prevention experts

  • Associate Professor Jo-An Occhipinti

    The University of Sydney
    Headshot of Jo-An Occhipinti
  • Dr Geoff McDonnell

    The Sax Institute
    Headshot of Dr Geoff McDonnell

Topics

  • Alcohol, tobacco and other drugs ,

Prevention methodologies

  • New methods and tools ,
  • Systems and complexity ,

Related projects

  • Model behaviour: A systems approach to alcohol-related harm

    Hand chained to glass bottle of alcohol

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Acknowledgement of Country

The Australian Prevention Partnership Centre acknowledges Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work.

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Funding Partners

The Australian Prevention Partnership Centre is funded by the NHMRC, Australian Government Department of Health, ACT Health, Cancer Council Australia, NSW Ministry of Health, Wellbeing SA, Tasmanian Department of Health, and VicHealth. The Australian Government also contributed through the Medical Research Future Fund. Queensland Health became a financial contributor in 2022. The Prevention Centre is administered by the Sax Institute.

©2022 The Sax Institute.

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